Analysis

POLUSD 0.09156 ↓0.01%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 19:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09156 · High 0.09177 · Low 0.09055 · Close 0.09156 · Range (high − low) 0.00122
POLUSD closed at 0.09156, down 0.00001 (-0.01%) from 0.09157.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -93.8% to Bear Extreme at -89.2%, up 4.6 points.
Fourth straight down candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.094650.093070.091570.09156
Energy-22.1%-71.7%-93.8%-89.2%
Price change↓ 1.51%↓ 1.67%↓ 1.61%↓ 0.01%
Energy change↓ 80.9↓ 49.6↓ 22.0↑ 4.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.51%↓ 1.67%↓ 1.61%↓ 0.01%↓ 80.9↓ 49.6↓ 22.0↑ 4.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 0% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.6 pts — higher than 27% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,614 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 54 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 54 times — 100%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -89.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.69%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.81%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-22 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-93.8%
Bear Extreme
-89.2%
Bear Extreme
-81.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The peak Bear energy state determined for POLUSD through the 4H candle data.

The energy side shows Market Energy at -89.2%, up +4.6% from -93.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to 81.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 19:00 on 22-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09156, down 0.01% from the previous candle (0.09157). Market Energy was -89.2%, up 4.6 points from -93.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09156, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.09157). This drop is larger than 0% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,613 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -93.8% to -89.2%. This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -93.8%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.2%, POLUSD is 14.69 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.81 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Extreme, -89.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.4%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 74.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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