Analysis

POLUSD 0.09045 ↑0.06%: Bears very strong · 4H 07:00 Oct 23, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09043 · High 0.09084 · Low 0.08982 · Close 0.09045 · Range (high − low) 0.00102
POLUSD closed at 0.09045, up 0.00005 (+0.06%) from 0.0904.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -75.9% to Bear Critical at -69.5%, up 6.4 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.091560.090850.09040.09045
Energy-89.2%-81.8%-75.9%-69.5%
Price change↓ 0.01%↓ 0.78%↓ 0.50%↑ 0.06%
Energy change↑ 4.6↑ 7.4↑ 5.9↑ 6.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.01%↓ 0.78%↓ 0.50%↑ 0.06%↑ 4.6↑ 7.4↑ 5.9↑ 6.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 2% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.4 pts — higher than 38% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,612 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 133 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 104 times — 78.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 29 times — 21.8%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -69.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-75.9%
Bear Extreme
-69.5%
Bear Critical
Expected at
11:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded POLUSD in Bear Critical after the 4H candle closed.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy moved from -75.9% to -69.5%, up +6.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to 81.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 07:00 on 23-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09045, up 0.06% from the previous candle (0.0904). Market Energy was -69.5%, up 6.4 points from -75.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09045, up 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (0.0904). This rise is larger than 2% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,616 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.9% to -69.5%. This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -75.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.5%, POLUSD is 9.5 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -29.9%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Critical, -69.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -52.6%. POLUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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