Analysis

POLUSD 0.09202 ↓0.56%: Bears have the edge · 1H 18:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09253 · High 0.09271 · Low 0.09152 · Close 0.09202 · Range (high − low) 0.00119
POLUSD closed at 0.09202, down 0.00052 (-0.56%) from 0.09254.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 19.7% to Bear Bias at -29.6%, down 49.3 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.0930.092670.092540.09202
Energy81.8%56.3%19.7%-29.6%
Price change↓ 0.05%↓ 0.35%↓ 0.14%↓ 0.56%
Energy change↓ 10.5↓ 25.5↓ 36.6↓ 49.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.05%↓ 0.35%↓ 0.14%↓ 0.56%↓ 10.5↓ 25.5↓ 36.6↓ 49.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 49.3 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD 1H

Sample: 18,383 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,474 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,061 times — 72%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 413 times — 28%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -29.6%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.4%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-10-19 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
19.7%
Neutral
-29.6%
Bear Bias
-58.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market POLUSD in the Bear trend energy zone.

Market energy movement Energy delta -49.3%: Market Energy at -29.6%, previously 19.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.9 to 98.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 18:00 on 19-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09202, down 0.56% from the previous candle (0.09254). Market Energy was -29.6%, down 49.3 points from 19.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09202, down 0.56% from the previous 1H candle (0.09254). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 18,383 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 49.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19.7% to -29.6%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 19.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -29.6%, POLUSD is 8.72 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.4 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -56.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -29.6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.2%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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