Analysis

POLUSD 0.09271 ↑0.85%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 07:00 Oct 20, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09196 · High 0.09318 · Low 0.09185 · Close 0.09271 · Range (high − low) 0.00133
POLUSD closed at 0.09271, up 0.00078 (+0.85%) from 0.09193.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -5.9% to Neutral at 0.5%, up 6.4 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.091520.092080.091930.09271
Energy-2.8%-4.7%-5.9%0.5%
Price change↓ 1.59%↑ 0.61%↓ 0.16%↑ 0.85%
Energy change↓ 14.3↓ 2.0↓ 1.1↑ 6.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.59%↑ 0.61%↓ 0.16%↑ 0.85%↓ 14.3↓ 2.0↓ 1.1↑ 6.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.85% — higher than 49% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.4 pts — higher than 38% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,599 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-19
Number of Neutral occurrences: 466 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 215 times — 46.1%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 251 times — 53.9%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 0.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 20.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 21.43%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-5.9%
Neutral
0.5%
Neutral
28.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, POLUSD classified as the neutral energy state.

On the energy side, Compared to the previous candle (-5.9%), Market Energy rose +6.4% to 0.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to 15.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 07:00 on 20-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09271, up 0.85% from the previous candle (0.09193). Market Energy was 0.5%, up 6.4 points from -5.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09271, up 0.85% from the previous 4H candle (0.09193). This rise is larger than 49% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,598 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -5.9% to 0.5%. This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -5.9%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 0.5%, POLUSD is 20.33 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 21.43 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -16.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.4%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 0.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42.8%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 42.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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