Analysis

NEARUSD 4.407 ↓2.07%: Bears very strong · 4H 23:00 Oct 24, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.499 · High 4.513 · Low 4.25 · Close 4.407 · Range (high − low) 0.263
NEARUSD closed at 4.407, down 0.093 (-2.07%) from 4.5.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -78.7% to Bear Critical at -67.2%, up 11.5 points.
Fourth straight down candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.6354.5724.54.407
Energy-70.6%-76.0%-78.7%-67.2%
Price change↓ 1.19%↓ 1.36%↓ 1.57%↓ 2.07%
Energy change↑ 0.5↓ 5.4↓ 2.7↑ 11.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.19%↓ 1.36%↓ 1.57%↓ 2.07%↑ 0.5↓ 5.4↓ 2.7↑ 11.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.07% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.5 pts — higher than 59% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,206 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 524 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 388 times — 74%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 136 times — 26%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -67.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.17%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.33%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-24 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-78.7%
Bear Extreme
-67.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Market NEARUSD in the Bear Critical energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system The energy level rose +11.5%: from -78.7% now at -67.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.4 to 79.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 24-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.407, down 2.07% from the previous candle (4.5). Market Energy was -67.2%, up 11.5 points from -78.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.407, down 2.07% from the previous 4H candle (4.5). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,207 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -78.7% to -67.2%. This rise is larger than 59% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -78.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.2%, NEARUSD is 7.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.33 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 19.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.3%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -67.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.1%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .