Analysis

NEARUSD 4.691 ↓3.95%: Bears have the edge · D Oct 23, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 4.884 · High 5.011 · Low 4.588 · Close 4.691 · Range (high − low) 0.423
NEARUSD closed at 4.691, down 0.193 (-3.95%) from 4.884.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 1.7% to Bear Bias at -38.3%, down 40.0 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.9335.2624.8844.691
Energy-12.7%21.9%1.7%-38.3%
Price change↑ 0.59%↑ 6.67%↓ 7.18%↓ 3.95%
Energy change↑ 1.2↑ 34.6↓ 20.2↓ 40.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.59%↑ 6.67%↓ 7.18%↓ 3.95%↑ 1.2↑ 34.6↓ 20.2↓ 40.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.95% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.0 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NEARUSD Daily

Sample: 2,199 Daily candles from 2020-10-15 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 193 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 117 times — 60.6%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 76 times — 39.4%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -38.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.73%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · D1 · 2026-10-23 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
1.7%
Neutral
-38.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, Market NEARUSD in the Bear Bias state.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -40% this candle, currently -38.3% (previous candle 1.7%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -38.3 to 21.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 23-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.691, down 3.95% from the previous candle (4.884). Market Energy was -38.3%, down 40.0 points from 1.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.691, down 3.95% from the previous Daily candle (4.884). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD, across 2,199 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40 percentage points from the previous candle — from 1.7% to -38.3%. This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NEARUSD at 1.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38.3%, NEARUSD is 17.39 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.73 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.2%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Bias, -38.3%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -55.4%. NEARUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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