Analysis

NEARUSD 5.228 ↓0.67%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 11:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.263 · High 5.394 · Low 5.12 · Close 5.228 · Range (high − low) 0.274
NEARUSD closed at 5.228, down 0.035 (-0.67%) from 5.263.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 94.5% to Bull Extreme at 84.9%, down 9.6 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.1175.4135.2635.228
Energy62.2%99.7%94.5%84.9%
Price change↑ 11.43%↑ 5.78%↓ 2.77%↓ 0.67%
Energy change↑ 131.6↑ 37.5↓ 5.2↓ 9.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 11.43%↑ 5.78%↓ 2.77%↓ 0.67%↑ 131.6↑ 37.5↓ 5.2↓ 9.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.67% — higher than 30% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.6 pts — higher than 51% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,195 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 345 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 345 times — 100%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 84.87%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 15.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 10.37%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
94.5%
Bull Extreme
84.9%
Bull Extreme
81.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Result for NEARUSD: the Bull Extreme state.

Looking at the energy level, The energy level dropped -9.6%: from 94.5% now at 84.9%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 99.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 16-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.228, down 0.67% from the previous candle (5.263). Market Energy was 84.9%, down 9.6 points from 94.5%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.228, down 0.67% from the previous 4H candle (5.263). This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,156 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 94.5% to 84.9%. This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 94.5%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 84.9%, NEARUSD is 15.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 10.37 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.4%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Extreme, 84.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.6%. NEARUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .