Analysis

NEARUSD 4.784 ↑7.17%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 11:00 Oct 9, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.465 · High 4.798 · Low 4.445 · Close 4.784 · Range (high − low) 0.353
NEARUSD closed at 4.784, up 0.32 (+7.17%) from 4.464.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -91.6% to Bear Extreme at -78.1%, up 13.6 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.6334.5764.4644.784
Energy-98.4%-91.9%-91.6%-78.1%
Price change↓ 8.89%↓ 1.23%↓ 2.45%↑ 7.17%
Energy change↓ 53.2↑ 6.5↑ 0.3↑ 13.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 8.89%↓ 1.23%↓ 2.45%↑ 7.17%↓ 53.2↑ 6.5↑ 0.3↑ 13.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 7.17% — higher than 97% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.6 pts — higher than 66% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,188 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 295 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 295 times — 100%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -78.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.6%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.9%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-09 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-91.6%
Bear Extreme
-78.1%
Bear Extreme
-47.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

NEARUSD recorded in the Bear Extreme energy zone as the 4H candle ended.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Energy delta +13.6%: Market Energy at -78.1%, previously -91.6%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.4 to 89.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 09-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.784, up 7.17% from the previous candle (4.464). Market Energy was -78.1%, up 13.6 points from -91.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.784, up 7.17% from the previous 4H candle (4.464). This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,114 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -91.6% to -78.1%. This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -91.6%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.1%, NEARUSD is 3.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.9 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Extreme, -78.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51%. NEARUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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