Analysis

ETHUSD 2,430.86 ↑0.26%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 15:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2,424.51 · High 2,444.79 · Low 2,420.19 · Close 2,430.86 · Range (high − low) 24.6
ETHUSD closed at 2,430.86, up 6.35 (+0.26%) from 2,424.51.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 32.3% to Bull Bias at 37.7%, up 5.4 points.
Third straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,338.32,410.32,424.52,430.9
Energy-95.4%-42.0%32.3%37.7%
Price change↓ 1.74%↑ 3.08%↑ 0.59%↑ 0.26%
Energy change↓ 40.3↑ 53.4↑ 74.3↑ 5.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.74%↑ 3.08%↑ 0.59%↑ 0.26%↓ 40.3↑ 53.4↑ 74.3↑ 5.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.26% — higher than 23% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.4 pts — higher than 33% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 20,083 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,628 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 626 times — 38.5%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,002 times — 61.5%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 37.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 22.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 16.86%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
32.3%
Bull Bias
37.7%
Bull Bias
24.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, ETHUSD in the energy state leaning Bull.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from 32.3% to 37.7%, up +5.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to 66.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 19-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,430.86, up 0.26% from the previous candle (2,424.51). Market Energy was 37.7%, up 5.4 points from 32.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,430.86, up 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (2,424.51). This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 17,086 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.3% to 37.7%. This rise is larger than 33% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 32.3%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 37.7%, ETHUSD is 22.26 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 16.86 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 37.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.1%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 17.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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