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Research

ETHUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
20,106 ETHUSD 4H candles
Period
2017-08-17 – 2026-10-22 (9.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme689 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical992 times
↑27.7%
↓72.3%
Bull Bias1,630 times
↑38.5%
↓61.5%
Neutral1,766 times
↑52.9%
↓47.1%
Bear Bias1,513 times
↑65.8%
↓34.2%
Bear Critical★★881 times
↑72.9%
↓27.1%
Bear Extreme579 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Critical→Sellers→

ETHUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 579 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 579 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ETHUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 881 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 642 times — 72.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 239 times — 27.1%

Current market energy at -62.34%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.34 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.16 points

ETHUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,513 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 995 times — 65.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 518 times — 34.2%

ETHUSD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,766 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 934 times — 52.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 832 times — 47.1%

ETHUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,630 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 627 times — 38.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,003 times — 61.5%

ETHUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 992 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 275 times — 27.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 717 times — 72.3%

ETHUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 689 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 689 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ETHUSD?

Historically, when ETHUSD was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 72.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 27.1% of the time (across 881 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -62.34%, 2.34 points from the upper bound and 12.16 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 20,106 candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ETHUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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