Research

ETHUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
80,042 ETHUSD 1H candles
Period
2017-08-17 – 2026-10-09 (9.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

ETHUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,197 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,197 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ETHUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,422 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,635 times — 77%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 787 times — 23%

ETHUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 6,457 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4,309 times — 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,148 times — 33.3%

Current market energy at -34.79%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.91 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.21 points

ETHUSD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 7,434 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,817 times — 51.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,617 times — 48.7%

ETHUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 6,654 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,453 times — 36.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4,201 times — 63.1%

ETHUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,727 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 985 times — 26.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,742 times — 73.6%

ETHUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,490 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,490 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ETHUSD?

Historically, when ETHUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 66.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 33.3% of the time (across 6,457 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -34.79%, 13.91 points from the upper bound and 25.21 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 80,042 candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ETHUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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