Analysis

ETHUSD 2,420.04 ↓0.45%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 19:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2,430.87 · High 2,446.27 · Low 2,411.8 · Close 2,420.04 · Range (high − low) 34.47
ETHUSD closed at 2,420.04, down 10.82 (-0.45%) from 2,430.86.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 37.7% to Bull Bias at 24.2%, down 13.5 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,410.32,424.52,430.92,420
Energy-42.0%32.3%37.7%24.2%
Price change↑ 3.08%↑ 0.59%↑ 0.26%↓ 0.45%
Energy change↑ 53.4↑ 74.3↑ 5.4↓ 13.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 3.08%↑ 0.59%↑ 0.26%↓ 0.45%↑ 53.4↑ 74.3↑ 5.4↓ 13.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.45% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.5 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 20,083 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,628 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 626 times — 38.5%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,002 times — 61.5%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 24.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 35.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 3.32%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
37.7%
Bull Bias
24.2%
Bull Bias
-35.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, ETHUSD in the Bull Bias zone.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -13.5% from the previous session, from 37.7% to 24.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to 66.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 19:00 on 19-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,420.04, down 0.45% from the previous candle (2,430.86). Market Energy was 24.2%, down 13.5 points from 37.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,420.04, down 0.45% from the previous 4H candle (2,430.86). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 17,087 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 37.7% to 24.2%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 37.7%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 24.2%, ETHUSD is 35.8 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 3.32 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.7%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 24.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.6%. ETHUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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