Analysis

ETHUSD 2,564.19 ↑0.69%: Bulls very strong · 4H 15:00 Oct 12, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2,546.72 · High 2,579.88 · Low 2,542.5 · Close 2,564.19 · Range (high − low) 37.38
ETHUSD closed at 2,564.19, up 17.47 (+0.69%) from 2,546.72.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 60.9% to Bull Critical at 63.4%, up 2.5 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,536.62,536.92,546.72,564.2
Energy72.6%62.7%60.9%63.4%
Price change↑ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.39%↑ 0.69%
Energy change↓ 1.8↓ 9.8↓ 1.8↑ 2.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.39%↑ 0.69%↓ 1.8↓ 9.8↓ 1.8↑ 2.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.69% — higher than 51% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.5 pts — higher than 16% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 20,083 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 990 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 274 times — 27.7%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 716 times — 72.3%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 63.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.37%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
60.9%
Bull Critical
63.4%
Bull Critical
39.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Market ETHUSD in the near-peak Bull energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy rose +2.5% from the previous session, from 60.9% to 63.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.3 to 74.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 12-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,564.19, up 0.69% from the previous candle (2,546.72). Market Energy was 63.4%, up 2.5 points from 60.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,564.19, up 0.69% from the previous 4H candle (2,546.72). This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 17,044 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 60.9% to 63.4%. This rise is larger than 16% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 60.9%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.4%, ETHUSD is 11.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.37 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.2%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Critical, 63.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.8%. ETHUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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