Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,689.76 to 2,691.43, up 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Bias -21.6% to Bear Bias -35.9%, down 14.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.80%▼ 0.31%▼ 0.74%▲ 0.06%
Energy▲ 33.3▼ 10.7▼ 83.7▼ 14.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.80%▼ 0.31%▼ 0.74%▲ 0.06%▲ 33.3▼ 10.7▼ 83.7▼ 14.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 6% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.3 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,951 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-26
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,494 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 982 times — 65.7%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 512 times — 34.3%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: -35.87%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.99%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.13%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-27 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
-21.6%
Bear Bias
-35.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, ETHUSD in the energy zone leaning Bear.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -14.3% from the previous session, from -21.6% to -35.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +72.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 27-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,691.43, up 0.06% from the previous candle (2,689.76). Market Energy was -35.9%, down 14.3 points from -21.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,691.43, up 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (2,689.76). This rise is larger than 6% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,957 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -21.6% to -35.9%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -21.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -35.9%, ETHUSD is 14.99 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 24.13 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.1%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Bias, -35.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -0.3%. ETHUSD energy is currently below DXY by 35.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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