Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,613.11 to 2,633.34, up 0.77%
Market Energy Bull Bias 23.7% to Bull Critical 68.3%, up 44.6 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.44%0.09%1.32%0.77%
Energy48.95.865.844.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.44% 0.09% 1.32% 0.77% 48.9 5.8 65.8 44.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.77% — higher than 55% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 44.6 pts — higher than 91% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,911 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-20
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 981 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 273 times27.8%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 708 times72.2%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 68.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.3%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-20 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
23.7%
Bull Bias
68.3%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull Critical recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for ETHUSD.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy moved from 23.7% to 68.3%, up +44.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -61 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 20-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,633.34, up 0.77% from the previous candle (2,613.11). Market Energy was 68.3%, up 44.6 points from 23.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,633.34, up 0.77% from the previous 4H candle (2,613.11). This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,915 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 44.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23.7% to 68.3%. This rise is larger than 91% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 23.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.3%, ETHUSD is 6.2 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.3 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.2%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Critical, 68.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -75.7%. ETHUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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