Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURGBP from 0.8603 to 0.86006, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Bias -25.6% to Bear Bias -38.2%, down 12.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▼ 0.09%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.03%
Energy▼ 3.0▼ 68.5▼ 13.0▼ 12.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▼ 0.09%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.03%▼ 3.0▼ 68.5▼ 13.0▼ 12.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 48% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.6 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURGBP 4H

Sample: 282 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 16 times

▸When EURGBP is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURGBP moved to higher Market State: 11 times — 68.8%
  • then EURGBP moved to lower Market State: 5 times — 31.3%

▸Current EURGBP market energy: -38.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.82%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURGBP · H4 · 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-25.6%
Bear Bias
-38.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, EURGBP recorded in Bear Bias of Market Energy.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -12.6% this candle, currently -38.2% (previous candle -25.6%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURGBP Market Energy ranged from -56.9 to +92.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURGBP price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 26-09-2026 closed, EURGBP was at 0.86006, down 0.03% from the previous candle (0.8603). Market Energy was -38.2%, down 12.6 points from -25.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURGBP price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURGBP closed at 0.86006, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (0.8603). This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP, across 281 candles since 2019.

How did EURGBP Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -25.6% to -38.2%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP.

Do EURGBP price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURGBP in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURGBP at -25.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURGBP energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38.2%, EURGBP is 17.3 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.82 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.4%. Against this backdrop, EURGBP (Bear Bias, -38.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.2%. EURGBP energy is currently below DXY by 35.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURGBP.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURGBP on the EURGBP overview →

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