Analysis

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Price and energy
EURGBP from 0.85737 to 0.8576, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Bias -46.0% to Bear Critical -68.8%, down 22.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.04%0.20%0.03%
Energy22.31.688.022.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.04% 0.20% 0.03% 22.3 1.6 88.0 22.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 46% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.8 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURGBP 4H

Sample: 252 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 4 times

When EURGBP is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURGBP moved to higher Market State: 3 times75%
  • then EURGBP moved to lower Market State: 1 times25%

Current EURGBP market energy: -68.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.72%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURGBP · H4 · 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-46.0%
Bear Bias
-68.8%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, EURGBP in the near-peak Bear energy level.

The energy side shows Market Energy reading dropped -22.8%, moving from -46% to -68.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURGBP Market Energy ranged from -97 to +88.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURGBP price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 19-09-2026 closed, EURGBP was at 0.8576, up 0.03% from the previous candle (0.85737). Market Energy was -68.8%, down 22.8 points from -46%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURGBP price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURGBP closed at 0.8576, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (0.85737). This rise is larger than 46% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP, across 251 candles since 2019.

How did EURGBP Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46% to -68.8%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP.

Do EURGBP price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURGBP in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURGBP at -46%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURGBP moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does EURGBP energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.8%, EURGBP is 8.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.72 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -89.7%. Against this backdrop, EURGBP (Bear Critical, -68.8%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87.3%. EURGBP (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURGBP.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURGBP on the EURGBP overview →

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