Analysis

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Price and energy
EURGBP from 0.85776 to 0.85736, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -79.2% to Bear Extreme -83.2%, down 4.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.10%0.03%0.05%
Energy34.447.620.64.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.10% 0.03% 0.05% 34.4 47.6 20.6 4.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 65% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.0 pts — higher than 30% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURGBP 4H

Sample: 222 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2 times

When EURGBP is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURGBP moved to higher Market State: 2 times100%
  • then EURGBP moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current EURGBP market energy: -83.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.67%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16.83%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURGBP · H4 · 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-79.2%
Bear Extreme
-83.2%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Result for EURGBP: the Extreme state of Bear.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -4% from the previous candle, from -79.2% to -83.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURGBP Market Energy ranged from -84.9 to +65.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURGBP price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 12-09-2026 closed, EURGBP was at 0.85736, down 0.05% from the previous candle (0.85776). Market Energy was -83.2%, down 4.0 points from -79.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURGBP price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURGBP closed at 0.85736, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (0.85776). This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP, across 221 candles since 2019.

How did EURGBP Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -79.2% to -83.2%. This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP.

Do EURGBP price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURGBP in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURGBP at -79.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURGBP energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -83.2%, EURGBP is 8.67 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.83 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61%. Against this backdrop, EURGBP (Bear Extreme, -83.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.2%. EURGBP (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURGBP.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURGBP on the EURGBP overview →

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