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| Price | ▼ 0.28% | ▼ 0.35% | ▼ 0.76% | ▼ 0.12% |
| Energy | ▼ 2.3 | ▼ 15.4 | ▼ 12.9 | ▲ 1.7 |
Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 4H
▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 657 times — 74.5%
- then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 225 times — 25.5%
▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -61.04%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.04%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.46%
"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING
Reading from the 4H candle, Market BTCUSD in the Bear Critical measurement.
Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Energy delta +1.7%: Market Energy at -61%, previously -62.7%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.7 to +48.7.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 77,160.83, down 0.12% from the previous candle (77,250). Market Energy was -61%, up 1.7 points from -62.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
BTCUSD closed at 77,160.83, down 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (77,250). This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,971 candles since 2019.
How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 1.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -62.7% to -61%. This rise is larger than 12% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.
Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?
No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -62.7%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.
Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -61%, BTCUSD is 1.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.46 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -61%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -7.5%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 53.6 points.
See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →
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