Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 78,455.8 to 78,306.43, down 0.19%
Market Energy Neutral 12.0% to Neutral -2.0%, down 13.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.64%1.53%0.83%0.19%
Energy2.012.433.613.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.64% 1.53% 0.83% 0.19% 2.0 12.4 33.6 13.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 13% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.9 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD Daily

Sample: 5,704 Daily candles from 2011-01-20 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 456 times

When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 238 times52.2%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 218 times47.8%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -1.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 22.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 18.91%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · D1 · 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
12.0%
Neutral
-2.0%
Neutral
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Observing the completed Daily candle, BTCUSD classified as trend energy in a balanced state.

On trend energy, Market Energy reading dropped -13.9%, moving from 12% to -2% after the Daily candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -2 to +61.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 78,306.43, down 0.19% from the previous candle (78,455.8). Market Energy was -2%, down 13.9 points from 12%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 78,306.43, down 0.19% from the previous Daily candle (78,455.8). This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD, across 116 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 12% to -2%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had BTCUSD at 12%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -2%, BTCUSD is 22.85 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 18.91 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -19.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, -2%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 80 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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