Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 81,348 to 81,755.41, up 0.50%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 98.7% to Bull Extreme 98.7%, down 0.0 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.37%4.36%0.50%
Energy3.010.866.40.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.37% 4.36% 0.50% 3.0 10.8 66.4 0.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.50% — higher than 52% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.0 pts — higher than 0% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,349 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 795 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 795 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 98.66%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 24.16%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-03 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
98.7%
Bull Extreme
98.7%
Bull Extreme
97.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD recorded in the extreme Bull energy state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy moved from 98.7% to 98.7%, down 0% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -49.8 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 81,755.41, up 0.5% from the previous candle (81,348). Market Energy was 98.7%, down 0.0 points from 98.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 81,755.41, up 0.5% from the previous 4H candle (81,348). This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,929 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy was nearly unchanged from the previous candle, holding around 98.7%.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 98.7%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98.7%, BTCUSD is 1.34 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 24.16 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 98.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -84.5%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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