Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,741.2 to 1,739.25, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.6% to Bull Critical 68.0%, down 10.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.43%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.11%
Energy▲ 26.7▲ 5.3▼ 8.5▼ 10.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.43%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.11%▲ 26.7▲ 5.3▼ 8.5▼ 10.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.6 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,124 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 957 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 318 times — 33.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 639 times — 66.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 67.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.95%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2021-04-07 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
78.6%
Bull Extreme
68.0%
Bull Critical
51.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, XAUUSD recorded in Bull Critical of Market Energy.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -10.6% this candle, currently 68% (previous candle 78.6%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +43.1 to +89.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 07-04-2021 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,739.25, down 0.11% from the previous candle (1,741.2). Market Energy was 68%, down 10.6 points from 78.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,739.25, down 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (1,741.2). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 3,486 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.6% to 68%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 78.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68%, XAUUSD is 6.55 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.95 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -12%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -17.8%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 68%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.5%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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