Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.234 to 158.242, up 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Bias 24.7% to Bull Critical 62.2%, up 37.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.00%▼ 0.15%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.01%
Energy▼ 5.7▼ 9.2▲ 51.8▲ 37.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.00%▼ 0.15%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.01%▼ 5.7▼ 9.2▲ 51.8▲ 37.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01% — higher than 3% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 37.6 pts — higher than 87% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,309 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,073 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 393 times — 36.6%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 680 times — 63.4%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 62.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.24%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-08 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
24.7%
Bull Bias
62.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, USDJPY noted at the Bull Critical measurement.

Looking at the energy level, A +37.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 62.2% (previous: 24.7%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -27.2 to +75.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 08-10-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.242, up 0.01% from the previous candle (158.234). Market Energy was 62.2%, up 37.6 points from 24.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.242, up 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (158.234). This rise is larger than 3% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,099 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 37.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 24.7% to 62.2%. This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 24.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.2%, USDJPY is 12.26 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.24 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -87.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 62.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.3%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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