Analysis

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Candle open

XAUUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Bias zone. Measured energy: -46.5%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD Weekly

Sample: 715 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 60 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 39 times — 65%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 21 times — 35%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -46.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 25.64%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 13.48%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · W1 · 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
21.9%
Bull Bias
-46.5%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
EXPLANATION

Model processing calculation.

Estimated completion: 2026-10-05 07:01 UTC+7

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD had Market Energy -46.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 68.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 21.9% to -46.5%.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had XAUUSD at 21.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -46.5%, XAUUSD is 25.64 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 13.48 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -46.5%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.9%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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