Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,188.31 to 1,185.94, down 0.20%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.7% to Bull Critical 63.2%, down 14.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.07%▲ 0.18%▲ 0.20%▼ 0.20%
Energy▲ 12.0▲ 1.5▲ 8.7▼ 14.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.07%▲ 0.18%▲ 0.20%▼ 0.20%▲ 12.0▲ 1.5▲ 8.7▼ 14.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.20%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.5 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,129 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 957 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 318 times — 33.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 639 times — 66.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 63.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.23%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2018-08-20 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
77.7%
Bull Extreme
63.2%
Bull Critical
64.2%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, XAUUSD currently in Bull Critical.

On the measurement side, Market Energy reading dropped -14.5%, moving from 77.7% to 63.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.2 to +77.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 20-08-2018 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,185.94, down 0.2% from the previous candle (1,188.31). Market Energy was 63.2%, down 14.5 points from 77.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,185.94, down 0.2% from the previous 4H candle (1,188.31).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.7% to 63.2%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 77.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.2%, XAUUSD is 11.27 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.23 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.9%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 63.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.9%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 66.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .