Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,318.17 to 1,318.01, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Bias 22.6% to Neutral 20.8%, down 1.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.15%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.01%
Energy▼ 12.7▼ 11.2▼ 0.3▼ 1.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.15%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.01%▼ 12.7▼ 11.2▼ 0.3▼ 1.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.8 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XAUUSD 4H

Sample: 18,126 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,444 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 754 times — 52.2%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 690 times — 47.8%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 20.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.11%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.65%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H4 · 2018-01-11 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
22.6%
Bull Bias
20.8%
Neutral
20.2%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, XAUUSD currently in the Neutral level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system The energy level dropped -1.8%: from 22.6% now at 20.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -54.6 to +46.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 09:00 on 11-01-2018 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,318.01, down 0.01% from the previous candle (1,318.17). Market Energy was 20.8%, down 1.8 points from 22.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,318.01, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (1,318.17).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 22.6% to 20.8%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 22.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.8%, XAUUSD is 0.11 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.65 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 6.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Neutral, 20.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22.9%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 2.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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