Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.82863 to 0.82393, down 0.57%
Market Energy Neutral -4.8% to Neutral -16.5%, down 11.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.07%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.66%▼ 0.57%
Energy▲ 0.7▲ 4.7▲ 33.2▼ 11.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.07%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.66%▼ 0.57%▲ 0.7▲ 4.7▲ 33.2▼ 11.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.57% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COTTON 4H

Sample: 218 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-08
Number of Neutral occurrences: 22 times

▸When COTTON is in Neutral:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 59.1%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 9 times — 40.9%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -16.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 37.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 4.35%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-10-08 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-4.8%
Neutral
-16.5%
Neutral
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Market COTTON in the neutral Bull/Bear zone.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy at -16.5%, down -11.7% from -4.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -43.4 to +83.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 08-10-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.82393, down 0.57% from the previous candle (0.82863). Market Energy was -16.5%, down 11.7 points from -4.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.82393, down 0.57% from the previous 4H candle (0.82863). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 217 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -4.8% to -16.5%. This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at -4.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -16.5%, COTTON is 37.41 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 4.35 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -88.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Neutral, -16.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.4%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 86.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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