Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 3,999.5 to 4,026.92, up 0.69%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -90.8% to Bear Extreme -81.3%, up 9.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.24%▼ 1.93%▼ 2.71%▲ 0.69%
Energy▲ 21.1▼ 6.3▼ 17.8▲ 9.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.24%▼ 1.93%▼ 2.71%▲ 0.69%▲ 21.1▼ 6.3▼ 17.8▲ 9.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.69% — higher than 63% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.5 pts — higher than 44% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,006 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 144 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 144 times — 100%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -81.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.8%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.7%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2026-06-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-90.8%
Bear Extreme
-81.3%
Bear Extreme
-51.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, XAUUSD on Daily is in bear extreme with energy -81.3. Energy changed +9.5 from previous candle.

XAUUSD on Daily timeframe is currently in bear extreme state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -81.3, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.8 to -66.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 25-06-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,026.92, up 0.69% from the previous candle (3,999.5). Market Energy was -81.3%, up 9.5 points from -90.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,026.92, up 0.69% from the previous Daily candle (3,999.5). This rise is larger than 63% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,327 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -90.8% to -81.3%. This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at -90.8%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.3%, XAUUSD is 6.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.7 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 20.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Extreme, -81.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.6%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 92.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .