Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,570.32 to 4,507.57, down 1.37%
Market Energy Neutral -20.3% to Bear Bias -35.2%, down 14.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.74%▲ 1.28%▲ 0.07%▼ 1.37%
Energy▼ 3.2▲ 21.5▼ 1.7▼ 14.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.74%▲ 1.28%▲ 0.07%▼ 1.37%▼ 3.2▲ 21.5▼ 1.7▼ 14.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.37% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.9 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,004 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 322 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 189 times — 58.7%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 133 times — 41.3%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -35.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 24.8%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-20.3%
Neutral
-35.2%
Bear Bias
-54.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, XAUUSD on Daily is in bear bias with energy -35.2. Energy changed -14.9 from previous candle.

XAUUSD on Daily timeframe is currently in bear bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -35.2, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -40.1 to -18.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 26-05-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,507.57, down 1.37% from the previous candle (4,570.32). Market Energy was -35.2%, down 14.9 points from -20.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,507.57, down 1.37% from the previous Daily candle (4,570.32). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,301 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -20.3% to -35.2%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at -20.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -35.2%, XAUUSD is 14.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 24.8 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -13.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -35.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 13.1%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 48.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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