Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,781.69 to 1,772, down 0.54%
Market Energy Bull Bias 38.0% to Bull Bias 24.5%, down 13.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.36%▼ 0.26%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.54%
Energy▲ 8.0▼ 6.1▲ 3.3▼ 13.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.36%▼ 0.26%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.54%▲ 8.0▼ 6.1▲ 3.3▼ 13.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.54% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.5 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 351 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 173 times — 49.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 178 times — 50.7%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 24.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 35.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 3.66%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2021-04-29 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
38.0%
Bull Bias
24.5%
Bull Bias
20.6%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle closes, XAUUSD within the Bull Bias state.

The energy side shows Compared to the previous candle (38%), Market Energy dropped -13.5% to 24.5%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 5 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +24.5 to +40.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 29-04-2021 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,772, down 0.54% from the previous candle (1,781.69). Market Energy was 24.5%, down 13.5 points from 38%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,772, down 0.54% from the previous Daily candle (1,781.69). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 723 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 38% to 24.5%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 38%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 24.5%, XAUUSD is 35.46 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 3.66 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.8%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 24.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -98.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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