Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,793.69 to 1,784.22, down 0.53%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 83.0% to Bull Critical 70.5%, down 12.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.30%▲ 0.41%▲ 0.84%▼ 0.53%
Energy▼ 19.0▼ 3.5▲ 15.9▼ 12.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.30%▲ 0.41%▲ 0.84%▼ 0.53%▼ 19.0▼ 3.5▲ 15.9▼ 12.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.53% — higher than 63% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.6 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 230 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 92 times — 40%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 138 times — 60%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 70.47%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.47%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2021-04-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
83.0%
Bull Extreme
70.5%
Bull Critical
43.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, Market Energy of XAUUSD indicates Bull Critical.

Market movement after the Daily candle closes, Market Energy moved from 83% to 70.5%, down -12.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +67.1 to +89.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 22-04-2021 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,784.22, down 0.53% from the previous candle (1,793.69). Market Energy was 70.5%, down 12.6 points from 83%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,784.22, down 0.53% from the previous Daily candle (1,793.69). This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 717 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83% to 70.5%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 83%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.5%, XAUUSD is 4.03 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.47 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 70.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -81.1%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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