Analysis

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Price and energy
TRXUSD from 0.3065 to 0.2991, down 2.41%
Market Energy Bull Bias 36.6% to Bear Bias -50.1%, down 86.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.24%0.10%0.97%2.41%
Energy16.25.331.886.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.24% 0.10% 0.97% 2.41% 16.2 5.3 31.8 86.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.41% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 86.8 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias TRXUSD 4H

Sample: 18,079 4H candles from 2018-06-11 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,255 times

When TRXUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then TRXUSD moved to higher Market State: 935 times74.5%
  • then TRXUSD moved to lower Market State: 320 times25.5%

Current TRXUSD market energy: -50.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 29.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 9.88%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

TRXUSD · H4 · 2026-01-23 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
36.6%
Bull Bias
-50.1%
Bear Bias
-67.1%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The energy zone leaning Bear is the result just recorded for TRXUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -86.8% from the previous candle, from 36.6% to -50.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, TRXUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.5 to +68.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did TRXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 23-01-2026 closed, TRXUSD was at 0.2991, down 2.41% from the previous candle (0.3065). Market Energy was -50.1%, down 86.8 points from 36.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did TRXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

TRXUSD closed at 0.2991, down 2.41% from the previous 4H candle (0.3065). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD, across 15,473 candles since 2019.

How did TRXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 86.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.6% to -50.1%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD on record since 2019.

Do TRXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was TRXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had TRXUSD at 36.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, TRXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does TRXUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -50.1%, TRXUSD is 29.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 9.88 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.8%. Against this backdrop, TRXUSD (Bear Bias, -50.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -16.7%. TRXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 33.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for TRXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for TRXUSD on the TRXUSD overview →

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