Analysis

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Price and energy
TRXUSD from 0.2991 to 0.2992, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Bias -50.1% to Bear Critical -67.1%, down 17.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.10%0.97%2.41%0.03%
Energy5.331.886.817.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.10% 0.97% 2.41% 0.03% 5.3 31.8 86.8 17.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 2% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.0 pts — higher than 72% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical TRXUSD 4H

Sample: 18,078 4H candles from 2018-06-11 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 436 times

When TRXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then TRXUSD moved to higher Market State: 322 times73.9%
  • then TRXUSD moved to lower Market State: 114 times26.1%

Current TRXUSD market energy: -67.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.41%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

TRXUSD · H4 · 2026-01-23 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-50.1%
Bear Bias
-67.1%
Bear Critical
-65.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded TRXUSD in Bear trend energy near extreme after the 4H candle closed.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy dropped -17% this candle, currently -67.1% (previous candle -50.1%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, TRXUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.5 to +68.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did TRXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 23-01-2026 closed, TRXUSD was at 0.2992, up 0.03% from the previous candle (0.2991). Market Energy was -67.1%, down 17.0 points from -50.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did TRXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

TRXUSD closed at 0.2992, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (0.2991). This rise is larger than 2% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD, across 15,474 candles since 2019.

How did TRXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17 percentage points from the previous candle — from -50.1% to -67.1%. This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD.

Do TRXUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was TRXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had TRXUSD at -50.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, TRXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does TRXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.1%, TRXUSD is 7.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.41 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.5%. Against this backdrop, TRXUSD (Bear Critical, -67.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -92.5%. TRXUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for TRXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for TRXUSD on the TRXUSD overview →

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