Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDJPY from 110.298 to 110.132, down 0.15%
Market Energy Bear Bias -48.1% to Bear Bias -49.3%, down 1.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.16%0.02%0.15%
Energy17.420.99.21.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.16% 0.02% 0.15% 17.4 20.9 9.2 1.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.2 pts — higher than 8% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 219 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 14 times

When AUDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 10 times71.4%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 4 times28.6%

Current AUDJPY market energy: -49.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.73%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-48.1%
Bear Bias
-49.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AUDJPY noted at the Bear Bias energy level.

On trend energy, Market trend energy recorded a -1.2% drop from the previous candle, from -48.1% to -49.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -87.3 to +31.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 12-09-2026 closed, AUDJPY was at 110.132, down 0.15% from the previous candle (110.298). Market Energy was -49.3%, down 1.2 points from -48.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 110.132, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (110.298). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 221 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -48.1% to -49.3%. This drop is larger than 8% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at -48.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -49.3%, AUDJPY is 28.39 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 10.73 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Bias, -49.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.2%. AUDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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