Analysis

·

Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.514 to 1.464, down 3.30%
Market Energy Bear Bias -24.7% to Bear Critical -61.8%, down 37.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.12%0.66%0.13%3.30%
Energy4.52.60.737.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.12% 0.66% 0.13% 3.30% 4.5 2.6 0.7 37.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.30% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 37.1 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,945 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 513 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 381 times74.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 132 times25.7%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -61.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.82%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.68%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-12-21 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-24.7%
Bear Bias
-61.8%
Bear Critical
-51.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded NEARUSD in the near-extreme Bear energy level after the 4H candle closed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -37.1% from the previous session, from -24.7% to -61.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.7 to +48.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 21-12-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.464, down 3.3% from the previous candle (1.514). Market Energy was -61.8%, down 37.1 points from -24.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.464, down 3.3% from the previous 4H candle (1.514). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,365 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 37.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -24.7% to -61.8%. This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -24.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.8%, NEARUSD is 1.82 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.68 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.5%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -61.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.3%. NEARUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .