Analysis

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Price and energy
COTTON from 0.8902 to 0.8761, down 1.58%
Market Energy Neutral 11.1% to Bear Critical -64.6%, down 75.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.79%0.05%0.37%1.58%
Energy19.715.210.075.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.79% 0.05% 0.37% 1.58% 19.7 15.2 10.0 75.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.58% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 75.7 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 4H

Sample: 142 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1 times

When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1 times100%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current COTTON market energy: -64.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.59%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.91%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
11.1%
Neutral
-64.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, COTTON within the Bear Critical measurement.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, A -75.7% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -64.6% (previous: 11.1%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -64.6 to +42.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.8761, down 1.58% from the previous candle (0.8902). Market Energy was -64.6%, down 75.7 points from 11.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8761, down 1.58% from the previous 4H candle (0.8902). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 142 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 75.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 11.1% to -64.6%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at 11.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.6%, COTTON is 4.59 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.91 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -64.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -96.8%. COTTON (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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