Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPJPY from 207.7725 to 207.8695, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -77.0% to Bear Critical -61.2%, up 15.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.20%0.13%0.18%0.05%
Energy23.776.336.715.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.20% 0.13% 0.18% 0.05% 23.7 76.3 36.7 15.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 23% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 15.8 pts — higher than 62% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,187 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 875 times

When GBPJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 623 times71.2%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 252 times28.8%

Current GBPJPY market energy: -61.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.29%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-77.0%
Bear Extreme
-61.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded GBPJPY in the Bear Critical zone after the 4H candle closed.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy rose +15.8% from the previous candle, from -77% to -61.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -86.9 to +59.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 207.8695, up 0.05% from the previous candle (207.7725). Market Energy was -61.2%, up 15.8 points from -77%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 207.8695, up 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (207.7725). This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 11,979 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 15.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77% to -61.2%. This rise is larger than 62% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at -77%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.2%, GBPJPY is 1.21 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.29 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bear Critical, -61.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -96.8%. GBPJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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