Analysis

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Price and energy
COTTON from 0.89045 to 0.8761, down 1.61%
Market Energy Neutral -14.5% to Bear Critical -62.0%, down 47.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.24%0.58%0.86%1.61%
Energy9.262.136.147.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.24% 0.58% 0.86% 1.61% 9.2 62.1 36.1 47.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.61% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 47.5 pts — higher than 95% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,678 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,421 times

When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,004 times70.7%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 417 times29.3%

Current COTTON market energy: -61.99%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.99%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.51%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-14.5%
Neutral
-62.0%
Bear Critical
Expected at
01:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, Result for COTTON: the Bear Critical energy zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy at -62%, down -47.5% from -14.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -91.3 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.8761, down 1.61% from the previous candle (0.89045). Market Energy was -62%, down 47.5 points from -14.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8761, down 1.61% from the previous 1H candle (0.89045). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,346 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 47.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.5% to -62%. This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -14.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62%, COTTON is 1.99 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.51 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.6%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -62%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -67.5%. COTTON (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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