Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 4.242 to 4.099, down 3.37%
Market Energy Bull Bias 52.7% to Bear Bias -58.2%, down 110.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.52%2.11%0.52%3.37%
Energy78.321.914.4110.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.52% 2.11% 0.52% 3.37% 78.3 21.9 14.4 110.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.37% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 110.9 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,284 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,040 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 695 times66.8%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 345 times33.2%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -58.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 37.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 1.8%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2025-10-05 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
52.7%
Bull Bias
-58.2%
Bear Bias
-58.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, DOTUSD in Bear Bias.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -110.9% from the previous candle, from 52.7% to -58.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -58.2 to +98.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 05-10-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 4.099, down 3.37% from the previous candle (4.242). Market Energy was -58.2%, down 110.9 points from 52.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 4.099, down 3.37% from the previous 4H candle (4.242). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 11,242 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 110.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 52.7% to -58.2%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 52.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -58.2%, DOTUSD is 37.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 1.8 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -14.9%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Bias, -58.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.9%. DOTUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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