Research

VIX W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
751 VIX W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

VIX — Bear Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -77.13%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.63 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 22.87 points

VIX — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 65.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times — 34.5%

VIX — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 55.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 44.7%

VIX — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 54 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 44.4%

VIX — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 44.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 55.6%

VIX — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 35.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 64.7%

VIX — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VIX?

Historically, when VIX was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 19 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -77.13%, 2.63 points from the upper bound and 22.87 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 751 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VIX's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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