Research

VIX W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for VIX on the VIX Stock overview →

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Sample: 744 candles W from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17

VIXBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

VIXBear Critical W

Occurrences: 27 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times 33.3%

VIXBear Bias W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times 56.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times 43.5%

Current market energy at -41.3%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.42 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.7 points

VIXNeutral W

Occurrences: 54 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times 44.4%

VIXBull Bias W

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times 44.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times 55.6%

VIXBull Critical W

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times 35.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times 64.7%

VIXBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VIX?

Historically, when VIX was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 56.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 43.5% of the time (across 46 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -41.3%, 20.42 points from the upper bound and 18.7 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 744 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VIX's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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