Research

VIX 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,021 VIX 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

VIX — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 145 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

VIX — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 113 times — 64.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 35.1%

VIX — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 295 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 168 times — 56.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 127 times — 43.1%

VIX — Neutral — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 290 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 125 times — 43.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 165 times — 56.9%

Current market energy at -12.25%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 33.13 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 8.63 points

VIX — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 299 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 106 times — 35.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 193 times — 64.5%

VIX — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 190 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 23.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 146 times — 76.8%

VIX — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 144 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VIX?

Historically, when VIX was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 43.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 56.9% of the time (across 290 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -12.25%, 33.13 points from the upper bound and 8.63 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,021 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VIX's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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