Research

VIX D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 3,598 candles D from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-27

VIXBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 111 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 111 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

VIXBear Critical D

Occurrences: 118 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 70 times 59.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times 40.7%

VIXBear Bias D

Occurrences: 206 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 119 times 57.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 87 times 42.2%

VIXNeutral D

Occurrences: 260 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 144 times 55.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 116 times 44.6%

VIXBull Bias D

Occurrences: 258 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times 37.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 161 times 62.4%

VIXBull Critical D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 56 times 32.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 118 times 67.8%

Current market energy at 66.3%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.2 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.3 points

VIXBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 154 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 154 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of VIX?

Historically, when VIX was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 32.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 67.8% of the time (across 174 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 66.3%, 8.2 points from the upper bound and 6.3 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,598 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-27, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing VIX's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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