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Research

USDCHF W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
615 USDCHF W candles
Period
2015-01-05 – 2026-10-12 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme10 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical★16 times
↑43.8%
↓56.3%
Bull Bias★49 times
↑26.5%
↓73.5%
Neutral71 times
↑49.3%
↓50.7%
Bear Bias58 times
↑67.2%
↓32.8%
Bear Critical19 times
↑89.5%
↓10.5%
Bear Extreme6 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

USDCHF — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 6 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 6 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USDCHF — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 89.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2 times — 10.5%

USDCHF — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 58 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 67.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 32.8%

USDCHF — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 49.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 50.7%

USDCHF — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 49 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 26.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 73.5%

Current market energy at 24.69%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 35.31 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 3.81 points

USDCHF — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 43.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 56.3%

USDCHF — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCHF?

Historically, when USDCHF was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 26.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 73.5% of the time (across 49 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 24.69%, 35.31 points from the upper bound and 3.81 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 615 candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCHF's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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