Research

USDCHF 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
73,272 USDCHF 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-09 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

USDCHF — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 997 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 997 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USDCHF — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,097 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,506 times — 71.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 591 times — 28.2%

USDCHF — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,180 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,630 times — 70.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,550 times — 29.9%

USDCHF — Neutral — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 7,044 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,673 times — 52.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,371 times — 47.9%

Current market energy at 2.48%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 18.4 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 23.36 points

USDCHF — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,520 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,693 times — 30.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,827 times — 69.3%

USDCHF — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,254 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 615 times — 27.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,639 times — 72.7%

USDCHF — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 1,046 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,046 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCHF?

Historically, when USDCHF was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 52.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 47.9% of the time (across 7,044 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 2.48%, 18.4 points from the upper bound and 23.36 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 73,272 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCHF's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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