Research

USDCHF 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,369 USDCHF 4H candles
Period
2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

USDCHF — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 266 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 266 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USDCHF — Bear Critical — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 565 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 384 times — 68%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 181 times — 32%

Current market energy at -65.64%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.64 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.86 points

USDCHF — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,350 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 943 times — 69.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 407 times — 30.1%

USDCHF — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,799 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 903 times — 50.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 896 times — 49.8%

USDCHF — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,462 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 511 times — 35%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 951 times — 65%

USDCHF — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 642 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 164 times — 25.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 478 times — 74.5%

USDCHF — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 255 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 255 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCHF?

Historically, when USDCHF was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 68% of the time and down to a lower zone 32% of the time (across 565 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -65.64%, 5.64 points from the upper bound and 8.86 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,369 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCHF's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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USDCHF 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends | 2AiTrading