Research

SMB W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
747 SMB W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

SMB — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 6 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 6 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

SMB — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 8 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 8 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

SMB — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 68%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times — 32%

SMB — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 36 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 33.3%

SMB — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 57 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 61.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 38.6%

Current market energy at 43.12%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 16.88 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 22.24 points

SMB — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 35%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 65%

SMB — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMB?

Historically, when SMB was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 61.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 38.6% of the time (across 57 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 43.12%, 16.88 points from the upper bound and 22.24 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 747 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMB's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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