Research

SMB D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,582 SMB D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-21 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

SMB — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 93 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 93 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

SMB — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 90 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 65 times — 72.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 27.8%

SMB — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 181 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times — 65.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 63 times — 34.8%

SMB — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 221 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 60.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 87 times — 39.4%

SMB — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 269 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 126 times — 46.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 143 times — 53.2%

Current market energy at 59.77%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.23 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.89 points

SMB — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 186 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 68 times — 36.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 118 times — 63.4%

SMB — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 166 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 166 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMB?

Historically, when SMB was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 46.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 53.2% of the time (across 269 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 59.77%, 0.23 points from the upper bound and 38.89 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,582 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMB's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .