Research

SMB 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,157 SMB 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

SMB — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 165 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 165 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

SMB — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 105 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 65 times — 61.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 38.1%

SMB — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 190 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 72 times — 37.9%

Current market energy at -31.65%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 10.77 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 28.35 points

SMB — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 164 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times — 46.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 88 times — 53.7%

SMB — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 213 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 112 times — 52.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 101 times — 47.4%

SMB — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 158 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 67 times — 42.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 91 times — 57.6%

SMB — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 198 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 198 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMB?

Historically, when SMB was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 62.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 37.9% of the time (across 190 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -31.65%, 10.77 points from the upper bound and 28.35 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,157 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMB's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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