Research

SMA W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 729 candles W from 2012-03-26 to 2026-07-30

SMABear Extreme W

Occurrences: 13 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SMABear Critical W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 17 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times 64.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times 35.3%

Current market energy at -66.4%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.4 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.1 points

SMABear Bias W

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times 70.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times 29.4%

SMANeutral W

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times 53.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times 46.8%

SMABull Bias W

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times 51.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 48.2%

SMABull Critical W

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times 32.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times 67.4%

SMABull Extreme W

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMA?

Historically, when SMA was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.3% of the time (across 17 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -66.4%, 6.4 points from the upper bound and 8.1 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 729 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-07-30, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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