Research

SMA D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 3,162 candles D from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-28

SMABear Extreme D

Occurrences: 135 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 135 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SMABear Critical D

Occurrences: 96 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 58 times 60.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times 39.6%

SMABear Bias D

Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 107 times 61.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 67 times 38.5%

SMANeutral D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 209 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times 56.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 91 times 43.5%

Current market energy at -11.6%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 32.48 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 9.28 points

SMABull Bias D

Occurrences: 250 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 131 times 52.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 119 times 47.6%

SMABull Critical D

Occurrences: 176 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 68 times 38.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 108 times 61.4%

SMABull Extreme D

Occurrences: 212 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 212 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMA?

Historically, when SMA was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 56.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 43.5% of the time (across 209 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -11.6%, 32.48 points from the upper bound and 9.28 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,162 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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